The Future of Statistical Modeling
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25,000 lives saved per ship sunk, $100,000 per citation, a probability of 10^-90 of a decisive vote . . . Is there a through line from B.S…
Also, StanCon and a slew of improvements to NUTS!
Dec 15
•
Andrew Gelman
1
The life of the artist, the purpose of scientists, and the Sapolsky Sanction
And problems with the so-called gender equality paradox
Dec 10
•
Andrew Gelman
4
Donald Trump and Jeffrey Epstein in a remake of The Big Clock
Put 'em on the Kroger recall list.
Dec 9
•
Andrew Gelman
1
Calibrated intervals from uncalibrated inputs
and effective sample size and some other things
Dec 8
•
Andrew Gelman
It's not "prior-data conflict", it's a conflict between prior model and data model
Thinking about thinking about the Mississippi miracle
Dec 2
•
Andrew Gelman
7
1
November 2025
The empirical distributions of z-scores
Some thoughts on the signal-to-noise ratio and scientific replication
Nov 26
•
Andrew Gelman
4
StatRetro: The twitter feed that spits out our old blog posts, one at a time, every 8 hours
Hi all.
Nov 25
•
Andrew Gelman
1
Who has the lowest Erdos-Bacon-Epstein number?
and three meta-principles of statistics
Nov 24
•
Andrew Gelman
Do gardening programs reduce obesity?
Also a viral histogram, the density of fraud, found poetry in the Epstein files, an ignorant economist, belief in the law of small numbers, and a…
Nov 19
•
Andrew Gelman
1
We were wrong about redistricting.
In 1994, I published an article with Gary King in the American Political Science Review, “Enhancing democracy through legislative redistricting,” which…
Nov 12
•
Andrew Gelman
8
2
The three branches of government and the acupuncture paradox
and a few other things
Nov 11
•
Andrew Gelman
6
Politics and poker, polls and betting markets, the WAR war, . . . would Cuomo have won in a head-to-head contest?
Also, Blue Rose Research and the Office of Risk Assessment at the Netherlands Food and Consumer Product Authority have jobs for you!
Nov 7
•
Andrew Gelman
2
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