Causality, crime, and cargo cults

And the reciprocal betrayals of Saul Bellow and Paul Meehl

Recently on the blog:

• Causality and Crime: In science as in genre storytelling, the thrill of the unexpected can only come with reference to (and in confounding) some preexisting norm.

• Too much unrelenting positivity

• He can’t pay his bills but he has a second home . . . Whassup with that?

• Why I no longer use the term “cargo-cult science”

• Analytics positions for the Miami Marlins (baseball)

• “Exposing omitted moderators: Explaining why effect sizes differ in the social sciences”

• “AI Needs Specialization to Generalize”

• There’s no accounting for taste, whodunnit edition.

• Plagiarist USC celebrity doctor: What’s he been up to lately?

• It’s About Time: my (remote) talk this Thursday in Sweden

• Who could have imagined it? The IPCC working group 1 folks.

• Where sports, statistics, and literature meet: Comparing David Fleming to Bill James

• The reciprocal betrayals of Saul Bellow and Paul Meehl

• “The Unbuilt Bench: Experimental Psychology on the Verge of Science”

• New Yorker magazine demonstrates a naive faith in social science

• Solve a simpler version of the problem.

Too much unrelenting positivity.